2024 fantasy baseball Top 40 closer ranks: From Emmanuel Clase to Erik Swanson


Welcome back to another year of relief pitcher rankings. I’m Greg Jewett, your old pal who lives and breathes relievers, holds, solds, saves, WHIP, and everything in between (so much so, in fact, that I just took over Closer Monkey, in case you need more frequent updates than my columns here)

An important note before we dive in: Closer rankings are fluid and will change throughout the season. In a draft room, use these as a guide, not a religion. Before we get into the process for these ranks, let’s take a look back at the save trends for full seasons (162 games) over the last five years:

Although debates often rage on how fantasy players should handle saves during their draft or auction, for a second straight season, the number of saves in major league baseball rose. Last year, only Emmanuel Clase recorded more than 40 saves, though two relievers finished with 39 (David Bednar and Camilo Doval). However, more relievers finished with 10 or more saves compared with 2022. Plus, relievers totaling 20 or more saves and 30 or more saves reached a peak compared with the previous four seasons in this chart.

There’s not one bona fide approach when securing saves from a fantasy perspective, but as this process will show, paying for saves mostly worked out last season. But 2023 went against trends from the previous two years, which means no matter what we think we know, things can change quickly, just like roles within a leverage ladder.

Using 12-team leagues as our guide — since it’s the most popular size across the fantasy landscape — what can results in the category from two different sites teach us? For starters, one does not have to lead their fantasy league in saves for success in the standings, but punting them in Rotisserie leagues may not yield success. Fewer saves came into fantasy leagues on the waiver wire last year. With this in mind, our first chart displays how the top 25 teams in the NFBC’s 12-team overall contest (Online Championship) fared in the saves category:

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You’ll notice the average league finish among the top finishers was fourth place last year,  or nine points in a 12-team league. This aligns with findings by Chris Towers of CBS Fantasy for the league winners on their site, with fourth place in saves being the most populated spot for first place. Using last year’s results, an average of 70 or more saves may be the baseline for success in this format:

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Following the format used by Eno Sarris in his terrific starting pitcher ranks (and hey, we did closer tiers together for the draft kit, too!), the top 40 relievers are in chart form below. My process in this exercise included fusing projections from three different systems (Steamer, ZiPS, and THE BAT), then adding in my own saves projection for each reliever.

After going through each team’s high-leverage trends, every team has a chart like this in my database:

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Projection systems use the last three years of data, along with trends for predicting future outcomes. Taking it a step further, each team received a blended win total, which yielded their save total:

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Taking each reliever’s blended projections with his save projection into SGP (standings gain points) provided these top 40 relievers for 2024, as of March 7.

These rankings will not remain intact, so there will be at least one — if not two! — updates before the season begins.

For those interested, here are some relievers worth tracking closely over the next two weeks.

Sleepers for Saves

Dynasty League Relievers Worth Stashing

And now… your Top 40:

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Will he sit atop average draft position? No. However, he’s recorded at least 70 appearances for three straight seasons. Although his strikeout percentage decreased last year, there’s room for positive migration toward past levels. Our own Eno Sarris rated his slider as the second-best in the majors last year, and it may hold the key for a bounce-back season, which seems strange since he led the majors with 44 saves. Look past the spike in batting average on balls in play last year and check out his last three years of data: 110 saves (most in MLB), 20.3 K-BB percentage, 0.95 WHIP (first among qualified relievers), and 2.66 SIERA. Would anyone be surprised if he reaches a third straight 40-plus save season?

Will he sit atop average draft position? No. However, he’s recorded at least 70 appearances for three straight seasons. Although his strikeout percentage decreased last year, there’s room for positive migration toward past levels. Our own Eno Sarris rated his slider as the second-best in the majors last year, and it may hold the key for a bounce-back season, which seems strange since he led the majors with 44 saves. Look past the spike in batting average on balls in play last year and check out his last three years of data: 110 saves (most in MLB), 20.3 K-BB percentage, 0.95 WHIP (first among qualified relievers), and 2.66 SIERA. Would anyone be surprised if he reaches a third straight 40-plus save season?

Will he sit atop average draft position? No. However, he’s recorded at least 70 appearances for three straight seasons. Although his strikeout percentage decreased last year, there’s room for positive migration toward past levels. Our own Eno Sarris rated his slider as the second-best in the majors last year, and it may hold the key for a bounce-back season, which seems strange since he led the majors with 44 saves. Look past the spike in batting average on balls in play last year and check out his last three years of data: 110 saves (most in MLB), 20.3 K-BB percentage, 0.95 WHIP (first among qualified relievers), and 2.66 SIERA. Would anyone be surprised if he reaches a third straight 40-plus save season?

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He missed all of 2023, but Mets fans long for trumpets blaring before the ninth inning again. He’s coming back from knee surgery, which can temper expectations; however, he racked up 118 strikeouts in 2022 with a robust 50.2 strikeout percentage. He became one of 12 pitchers with at least 100 strikeouts, an ERA below 1.50, and at least 30 holds in a season. Fantasy players can count on one hand how many relievers may finish with 100 strikeouts or more, with Díaz leading the way.

He missed all of 2023, but Mets fans long for trumpets blaring before the ninth inning again. He’s coming back from knee surgery, which can temper expectations; however, he racked up 118 strikeouts in 2022 with a robust 50.2 strikeout percentage. He became one of 12 pitchers with at least 100 strikeouts, an ERA below 1.50, and at least 30 holds in a season. Fantasy players can count on one hand how many relievers may finish with 100 strikeouts or more, with Díaz leading the way.

He missed all of 2023, but Mets fans long for trumpets blaring before the ninth inning again. He’s coming back from knee surgery, which can temper expectations; however, he racked up 118 strikeouts in 2022 with a robust 50.2 strikeout percentage. He became one of 12 pitchers with at least 100 strikeouts, an ERA below 1.50, and at least 30 holds in a season. Fantasy players can count on one hand how many relievers may finish with 100 strikeouts or more, with Díaz leading the way.

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How did Durán follow up his breakout season as his team’s primary save share in the playoffs? He looked even filthier. There’s a chance he’ll improve upon his 83:24 K:BB (23.1 K-BB percentage) from last year. His velocity remains an outlier — he threw 473 of his 1,107 pitches at 100 m.p.h. or faster in 2023. Since his debut in 2022, he ranks second in SIERA among qualified relievers, eighth in strikeout percentage, and 10th in swinging strike rate. Is there another level? This ranking believes there will be.

How did Durán follow up his breakout season as his team’s primary save share in the playoffs? He looked even filthier. There’s a chance he’ll improve upon his 83:24 K:BB (23.1 K-BB percentage) from last year. His velocity remains an outlier — he threw 473 of his 1,107 pitches at 100 m.p.h. or faster in 2023. Since his debut in 2022, he ranks second in SIERA among qualified relievers, eighth in strikeout percentage, and 10th in swinging strike rate. Is there another level? This ranking believes there will be.

How did Durán follow up his breakout season as his team’s primary save share in the playoffs? He looked even filthier. There’s a chance he’ll improve upon his 83:24 K:BB (23.1 K-BB percentage) from last year. His velocity remains an outlier — he threw 473 of his 1,107 pitches at 100 m.p.h. or faster in 2023. Since his debut in 2022, he ranks second in SIERA among qualified relievers, eighth in strikeout percentage, and 10th in swinging strike rate. Is there another level? This ranking believes there will be.

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Put his dominance on full display during his first full season as the ”closer” while featuring his patented ”Airbender.” His strong results go beyond 2023. Since August 1, 2022, he owns a 12-7 record with 45 saves through 83 appearances. Over the last three years, he ranks first in strikeouts (270) among qualified relievers, first in swinging strike percentage (18.2), and third in K-BB percentage (26.4). There’s a chance his team moves him if they decide to retool on the fly, but he should be the primary save share wherever he’s pitching in the second half. Target with confidence.

Put his dominance on full display during his first full season as the ”closer” while featuring his patented ”Airbender.” His strong results go beyond 2023. Since August 1, 2022, he owns a 12-7 record with 45 saves through 83 appearances. Over the last three years, he ranks first in strikeouts (270) among qualified relievers, first in swinging strike percentage (18.2), and third in K-BB percentage (26.4). There’s a chance his team moves him if they decide to retool on the fly, but he should be the primary save share wherever he’s pitching in the second half. Target with confidence.

Put his dominance on full display during his first full season as the ”closer” while featuring his patented ”Airbender.” His strong results go beyond 2023. Since August 1, 2022, he owns a 12-7 record with 45 saves through 83 appearances. Over the last three years, he ranks first in strikeouts (270) among qualified relievers, first in swinging strike percentage (18.2), and third in K-BB percentage (26.4). There’s a chance his team moves him if they decide to retool on the fly, but he should be the primary save share wherever he’s pitching in the second half. Target with confidence.

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There are some bumps here, but his team concept provides one of the most bountiful situations for saves. He is one of three relievers since 2021 with at least 45 saves, a K-BB percentage over 20 (27.7 percent), a strike percentage greater than 66 percent, and a swinging strike rate over 15.2 (18 percent). If he’s healthy for the entirety of 2024, he could record his first 40-save season. His ratios may be fraying, but he can squeeze out one more year for fantasy players.

There are some bumps here, but his team concept provides one of the most bountiful situations for saves. He is one of three relievers since 2021 with at least 45 saves, a K-BB percentage over 20 (27.7 percent), a strike percentage greater than 66 percent, and a swinging strike rate over 15.2 (18 percent). If he’s healthy for the entirety of 2024, he could record his first 40-save season. His ratios may be fraying, but he can squeeze out one more year for fantasy players.

There are some bumps here, but his team concept provides one of the most bountiful situations for saves. He is one of three relievers since 2021 with at least 45 saves, a K-BB percentage over 20 (27.7 percent), a strike percentage greater than 66 percent, and a swinging strike rate over 15.2 (18 percent). If he’s healthy for the entirety of 2024, he could record his first 40-save season. His ratios may be fraying, but he can squeeze out one more year for fantasy players.

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He’s already touched 102 m.p.h. And per reports at camp, Muñoz snapped off some impressive sliders during his first spring training outing. This, and a clear pathway toward the majority of chances, may unlock a career-high in saves for the uber-talented reliever. He must reduce the walk rate spike exhibited last season but his stuff cannot be ignored. In his limited experience at the major league level, Muñoz has recorded a 20% swinging strike rate and a 27% K-BB percentage. Plus his 2.40 SIERA ranks third-best among relievers since 2022. Get on board the hype train.

He’s already touched 102 m.p.h. And per reports at camp, Muñoz snapped off some impressive sliders during his first spring training outing. This, and a clear pathway toward the majority of chances, may unlock a career-high in saves for the uber-talented reliever. He must reduce the walk rate spike exhibited last season but his stuff cannot be ignored. In his limited experience at the major league level, Muñoz has recorded a 20% swinging strike rate and a 27% K-BB percentage. Plus his 2.40 SIERA ranks third-best among relievers since 2022. Get on board the hype train.

He’s already touched 102 m.p.h. And per reports at camp, Muñoz snapped off some impressive sliders during his first spring training outing. This, and a clear pathway toward the majority of chances, may unlock a career-high in saves for the uber-talented reliever. He must reduce the walk rate spike exhibited last season but his stuff cannot be ignored. In his limited experience at the major league level, Muñoz has recorded a 20% swinging strike rate and a 27% K-BB percentage. Plus his 2.40 SIERA ranks third-best among relievers since 2022. Get on board the hype train.

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What could go wrong? One of the best relievers in baseball signing a life-changing contract with one of the best teams in baseball. For starters, he has not surpassed 60 innings in a season since 2019, which depresses his strikeout totals. He’s secured 165 saves since 2018, second most in the majors, but gives up too many fly balls despite throwing a sinker in a new home ballpark where batters try pulling fly balls. He may finish with more than 30 saves for a fourth straight season, but there’s a bit more risk in this profile than many acknowledge.

What could go wrong? One of the best relievers in baseball signing a life-changing contract with one of the best teams in baseball. For starters, he has not surpassed 60 innings in a season since 2019, which depresses his strikeout totals. He’s secured 165 saves since 2018, second most in the majors, but gives up too many fly balls despite throwing a sinker in a new home ballpark where batters try pulling fly balls. He may finish with more than 30 saves for a fourth straight season, but there’s a bit more risk in this profile than many acknowledge.

What could go wrong? One of the best relievers in baseball signing a life-changing contract with one of the best teams in baseball. For starters, he has not surpassed 60 innings in a season since 2019, which depresses his strikeout totals. He’s secured 165 saves since 2018, second most in the majors, but gives up too many fly balls despite throwing a sinker in a new home ballpark where batters try pulling fly balls. He may finish with more than 30 saves for a fourth straight season, but there’s a bit more risk in this profile than many acknowledge.

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Wore down a bit in the second half after heavy usage patterns, lost faith in his slider, and still notched 39 saves, tied for tops in the National League, and second in the majors. He’s not elite but provides a healthy amount of strikeouts and if the ratios migrate toward 2022, he will be a bargain at his current price point. One caveat, the Giants’ leverage ladder may do more heavy lifting this season, which could wear him down once again.

Wore down a bit in the second half after heavy usage patterns, lost faith in his slider, and still notched 39 saves, tied for tops in the National League, and second in the majors. He’s not elite but provides a healthy amount of strikeouts and if the ratios migrate toward 2022, he will be a bargain at his current price point. One caveat, the Giants’ leverage ladder may do more heavy lifting this season, which could wear him down once again.

Wore down a bit in the second half after heavy usage patterns, lost faith in his slider, and still notched 39 saves, tied for tops in the National League, and second in the majors. He’s not elite but provides a healthy amount of strikeouts and if the ratios migrate toward 2022, he will be a bargain at his current price point. One caveat, the Giants’ leverage ladder may do more heavy lifting this season, which could wear him down once again.

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This felt like too low of a ranking, especially for a reliever with 39 saves last year, but he’s been limited in camp with a right lat strain. How he progresses may move him down in our updated rankings later this month. For now, we focus on his MLB third-best ERA (2.25) since his acquisition by the Pirates, while ranking ninth in K-BB percentage (23.5), and WHIP (1.06). He owned a robust 83 percent save share for Pittsburgh last year.

This felt like too low of a ranking, especially for a reliever with 39 saves last year, but he’s been limited in camp with a right lat strain. How he progresses may move him down in our updated rankings later this month. For now, we focus on his MLB third-best ERA (2.25) since his acquisition by the Pirates, while ranking ninth in K-BB percentage (23.5), and WHIP (1.06). He owned a robust 83 percent save share for Pittsburgh last year.

This felt like too low of a ranking, especially for a reliever with 39 saves last year, but he’s been limited in camp with a right lat strain. How he progresses may move him down in our updated rankings later this month. For now, we focus on his MLB third-best ERA (2.25) since his acquisition by the Pirates, while ranking ninth in K-BB percentage (23.5), and WHIP (1.06). He owned a robust 83 percent save share for Pittsburgh last year.

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Abandoning past practice, the Rays invested in Fairbanks as their ”closer,” and when healthy, he owned a 75.5 games-finished percentage and a 73.5 percent save share despite two stints on the injured list. He turned in career highs in appearances (49), strikeouts (68), and saves (25). If he can log 55-to-60 outings in the upcoming season, he may reach 30 saves.

Abandoning past practice, the Rays invested in Fairbanks as their ”closer,” and when healthy, he owned a 75.5 games-finished percentage and a 73.5 percent save share despite two stints on the injured list. He turned in career highs in appearances (49), strikeouts (68), and saves (25). If he can log 55-to-60 outings in the upcoming season, he may reach 30 saves.

Abandoning past practice, the Rays invested in Fairbanks as their ”closer,” and when healthy, he owned a 75.5 games-finished percentage and a 73.5 percent save share despite two stints on the injured list. He turned in career highs in appearances (49), strikeouts (68), and saves (25). If he can log 55-to-60 outings in the upcoming season, he may reach 30 saves.

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Missed time in the second half with back inflammation, and may be past his peak. But, he’s still his team’s ”closer.” He was less dominant in 2023, producing fewer 0-2 counts while getting into more 3-0 counts, less than optimal. Health and performance set his floor, but the ceiling days may be in the rearview mirror.

Missed time in the second half with back inflammation, and may be past his peak. But, he’s still his team’s ”closer.” He was less dominant in 2023, producing fewer 0-2 counts while getting into more 3-0 counts, less than optimal. Health and performance set his floor, but the ceiling days may be in the rearview mirror.

Missed time in the second half with back inflammation, and may be past his peak. But, he’s still his team’s ”closer.” He was less dominant in 2023, producing fewer 0-2 counts while getting into more 3-0 counts, less than optimal. Health and performance set his floor, but the ceiling days may be in the rearview mirror.

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His team fortified the leverage ladder, or at least they believe they did, so Díaz will not be fatigued down the stretch. He owned a 2.10 ERA in his first 66 appearances last year before he cratered in late September. One cannot overlook his monthly reduction in K-BB percentage last season, but he’s firmly entrenched as the ”closer” for a team with playoff aspirations.

His team fortified the leverage ladder, or at least they believe they did, so Díaz will not be fatigued down the stretch. He owned a 2.10 ERA in his first 66 appearances last year before he cratered in late September. One cannot overlook his monthly reduction in K-BB percentage last season, but he’s firmly entrenched as the ”closer” for a team with playoff aspirations.

His team fortified the leverage ladder, or at least they believe they did, so Díaz will not be fatigued down the stretch. He owned a 2.10 ERA in his first 66 appearances last year before he cratered in late September. One cannot overlook his monthly reduction in K-BB percentage last season, but he’s firmly entrenched as the ”closer” for a team with playoff aspirations.

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Not for the risk-averse, but what reliever profile does not have any in it? He missed 70 games with a right forearm strain, then returned in a flurry, racking up seven saves over his last 11.2 innings. When he’s on, he can generate strikeouts, even in extended outings. How his team manages his workload and deploys him sets his potential return on investment. Profiles best as an RP2 in a build with RP1 upside.

Not for the risk-averse, but what reliever profile does not have any in it? He missed 70 games with a right forearm strain, then returned in a flurry, racking up seven saves over his last 11.2 innings. When he’s on, he can generate strikeouts, even in extended outings. How his team manages his workload and deploys him sets his potential return on investment. Profiles best as an RP2 in a build with RP1 upside.

Not for the risk-averse, but what reliever profile does not have any in it? He missed 70 games with a right forearm strain, then returned in a flurry, racking up seven saves over his last 11.2 innings. When he’s on, he can generate strikeouts, even in extended outings. How his team manages his workload and deploys him sets his potential return on investment. Profiles best as an RP2 in a build with RP1 upside.

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It’s with some trepidation, especially for a reliever with command issues in his past, putting Scott this high in the rankings. But, he was one of five relievers with 100 or more strikeouts last year. He converted nine of 11 save chances from September forward, finishing with a 20:1 K:BB (30.6 K-BB percentage) in his last 16.1 innings. Can he come close to replicating his career-best 68.5 Strike percentage? This may determine his ceiling.

It’s with some trepidation, especially for a reliever with command issues in his past, putting Scott this high in the rankings. But, he was one of five relievers with 100 or more strikeouts last year. He converted nine of 11 save chances from September forward, finishing with a 20:1 K:BB (30.6 K-BB percentage) in his last 16.1 innings. Can he come close to replicating his career-best 68.5 Strike percentage? This may determine his ceiling.

It’s with some trepidation, especially for a reliever with command issues in his past, putting Scott this high in the rankings. But, he was one of five relievers with 100 or more strikeouts last year. He converted nine of 11 save chances from September forward, finishing with a 20:1 K:BB (30.6 K-BB percentage) in his last 16.1 innings. Can he come close to replicating his career-best 68.5 Strike percentage? This may determine his ceiling.

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At a position where people prefer flash, Phillips resembles steady production without style — but something is alluring about this. For a second straight season, he logged at least 60 appearances with at least 60 strikeouts and a WHIP below one, being the only qualified reliever achieving this feat. Since 2022, he has led all qualified relievers with a 0.80 WHIP and ranks 10th in K-BB percentage (24.8). Pretty, pretty, pretty good.

At a position where people prefer flash, Phillips resembles steady production without style — but something is alluring about this. For a second straight season, he logged at least 60 appearances with at least 60 strikeouts and a WHIP below one, being the only qualified reliever achieving this feat. Since 2022, he has led all qualified relievers with a 0.80 WHIP and ranks 10th in K-BB percentage (24.8). Pretty, pretty, pretty good.

At a position where people prefer flash, Phillips resembles steady production without style — but something is alluring about this. For a second straight season, he logged at least 60 appearances with at least 60 strikeouts and a WHIP below one, being the only qualified reliever achieving this feat. Since 2022, he has led all qualified relievers with a 0.80 WHIP and ranks 10th in K-BB percentage (24.8). Pretty, pretty, pretty good.

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It may be a surprise, but Kimbrel was one of two relievers with at least 90 strikeouts and 20 saves last year, joining the ”closer” he’s filling in for this season. Recalling his postseason struggles, some dismiss him from a fantasy perspective, but he fared well in high-leverage events last year. During his 28 save chances with the Phillies, he converted 23 with a 33:9 K:BB over 28 innings. He’s obviously past his peak, but could still post 25-plus saves with 80-plus strikeouts this year.

It may be a surprise, but Kimbrel was one of two relievers with at least 90 strikeouts and 20 saves last year, joining the ”closer” he’s filling in for this season. Recalling his postseason struggles, some dismiss him from a fantasy perspective, but he fared well in high-leverage events last year. During his 28 save chances with the Phillies, he converted 23 with a 33:9 K:BB over 28 innings. He’s obviously past his peak, but could still post 25-plus saves with 80-plus strikeouts this year.

It may be a surprise, but Kimbrel was one of two relievers with at least 90 strikeouts and 20 saves last year, joining the ”closer” he’s filling in for this season. Recalling his postseason struggles, some dismiss him from a fantasy perspective, but he fared well in high-leverage events last year. During his 28 save chances with the Phillies, he converted 23 with a 33:9 K:BB over 28 innings. He’s obviously past his peak, but could still post 25-plus saves with 80-plus strikeouts this year.

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Emerged as the preferred save option in Seattle, the was traded to Arizona, who lost in the World Series. Along the way, he accumulated a career-high 34 saves with a 22.5 K-BB percentage. He features a four-seam fastball and a sweeper but will be incorporating a change-up into his repertoire this spring. Representing an underappreciated fantasy asset, he opens the year as his team’s closer and may replicate his 2023 results while on the precipice of free agency.

Emerged as the preferred save option in Seattle, the was traded to Arizona, who lost in the World Series. Along the way, he accumulated a career-high 34 saves with a 22.5 K-BB percentage. He features a four-seam fastball and a sweeper but will be incorporating a change-up into his repertoire this spring. Representing an underappreciated fantasy asset, he opens the year as his team’s closer and may replicate his 2023 results while on the precipice of free agency.

Emerged as the preferred save option in Seattle, the was traded to Arizona, who lost in the World Series. Along the way, he accumulated a career-high 34 saves with a 22.5 K-BB percentage. He features a four-seam fastball and a sweeper but will be incorporating a change-up into his repertoire this spring. Representing an underappreciated fantasy asset, he opens the year as his team’s closer and may replicate his 2023 results while on the precipice of free agency.

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There’s some streakiness in his results, but he remains the preferred save option for the Yankees entering 2024. He’s a ground ball machine, and became the eighth player in team history with multiple 20-plus save seasons, only trailing Mariano Rivera, by 14. He does not possess the ceiling other relievers do, but he’s a steady presence on a team with a shaky leverage ladder, insulating his status as the ”closer.”

There’s some streakiness in his results, but he remains the preferred save option for the Yankees entering 2024. He’s a ground ball machine, and became the eighth player in team history with multiple 20-plus save seasons, only trailing Mariano Rivera, by 14. He does not possess the ceiling other relievers do, but he’s a steady presence on a team with a shaky leverage ladder, insulating his status as the ”closer.”

There’s some streakiness in his results, but he remains the preferred save option for the Yankees entering 2024. He’s a ground ball machine, and became the eighth player in team history with multiple 20-plus save seasons, only trailing Mariano Rivera, by 14. He does not possess the ceiling other relievers do, but he’s a steady presence on a team with a shaky leverage ladder, insulating his status as the ”closer.”

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It was perplexing when Craig Counsell would not name his preferred option for save chances after competing against Adbert Alzolay last year. He shined during high-leverage events and from July on posted an 83.3 games-finished percentage while converting 18 of 21 save opportunities. Will he be closer to his first-half results (0.92 WHIP; 24.8 K-BB percentage) or his second-half rates (1.18 WHIP; 16.3 K-BB percentage) in 2024?

It was perplexing when Craig Counsell would not name his preferred option for save chances after competing against Adbert Alzolay last year. He shined during high-leverage events and from July on posted an 83.3 games-finished percentage while converting 18 of 21 save opportunities. Will he be closer to his first-half results (0.92 WHIP; 24.8 K-BB percentage) or his second-half rates (1.18 WHIP; 16.3 K-BB percentage) in 2024?

It was perplexing when Craig Counsell would not name his preferred option for save chances after competing against Adbert Alzolay last year. He shined during high-leverage events and from July on posted an 83.3 games-finished percentage while converting 18 of 21 save opportunities. Will he be closer to his first-half results (0.92 WHIP; 24.8 K-BB percentage) or his second-half rates (1.18 WHIP; 16.3 K-BB percentage) in 2024?

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Even though this ranking may be debated or even dismissed, there are multiple pathways toward fantasy production for Miller. He lit up the radar gun during his first spring outing, topping 100 m.p.h. nine times while striking out the side. His team may say they will ease him into high-leverage situations, but every win will matter, which should make his transition into the preferred save option happen sooner rather than later. Plus, he will provide strikeout upside while protecting ratios. It’s a win-win, as long as he remains healthy, which represents his Achilles’ heel.

Even though this ranking may be debated or even dismissed, there are multiple pathways toward fantasy production for Miller. He lit up the radar gun during his first spring outing, topping 100 m.p.h. nine times while striking out the side. His team may say they will ease him into high-leverage situations, but every win will matter, which should make his transition into the preferred save option happen sooner rather than later. Plus, he will provide strikeout upside while protecting ratios. It’s a win-win, as long as he remains healthy, which represents his Achilles’ heel.

Even though this ranking may be debated or even dismissed, there are multiple pathways toward fantasy production for Miller. He lit up the radar gun during his first spring outing, topping 100 m.p.h. nine times while striking out the side. His team may say they will ease him into high-leverage situations, but every win will matter, which should make his transition into the preferred save option happen sooner rather than later. Plus, he will provide strikeout upside while protecting ratios. It’s a win-win, as long as he remains healthy, which represents his Achilles’ heel.

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So many questions, with so few answers. It feels like his own front office prefers entering the season without him, clouding his outlook. He went 29-for-33 in save chances with the Red Sox last year with an 18.6 K-BB percentage. But, his 1.276 WHIP represents a career-worst in the category. He also comes with health issues while giving up more contact. He can find a way in save chances, but where will he be getting them?

So many questions, with so few answers. It feels like his own front office prefers entering the season without him, clouding his outlook. He went 29-for-33 in save chances with the Red Sox last year with an 18.6 K-BB percentage. But, his 1.276 WHIP represents a career-worst in the category. He also comes with health issues while giving up more contact. He can find a way in save chances, but where will he be getting them?

So many questions, with so few answers. It feels like his own front office prefers entering the season without him, clouding his outlook. He went 29-for-33 in save chances with the Red Sox last year with an 18.6 K-BB percentage. But, his 1.276 WHIP represents a career-worst in the category. He also comes with health issues while giving up more contact. He can find a way in save chances, but where will he be getting them?

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Despite missing time with two separate injured list stints, he converted a career-high 10 saves in 12 opportunities. He opened the season with a ridiculous 29 strikeouts against zero walks before his first injured list appearance. Over his last 16 outings, he recorded four saves with a 25:9 K:BB, and 1.18 WHIP, which may be more indicative of his statistics for the upcoming season. How many save chances he receives depends on how Rob Thomson structures his match-up based ”floating closer” concept.

Despite missing time with two separate injured list stints, he converted a career-high 10 saves in 12 opportunities. He opened the season with a ridiculous 29 strikeouts against zero walks before his first injured list appearance. Over his last 16 outings, he recorded four saves with a 25:9 K:BB, and 1.18 WHIP, which may be more indicative of his statistics for the upcoming season. How many save chances he receives depends on how Rob Thomson structures his match-up based ”floating closer” concept.

Despite missing time with two separate injured list stints, he converted a career-high 10 saves in 12 opportunities. He opened the season with a ridiculous 29 strikeouts against zero walks before his first injured list appearance. Over his last 16 outings, he recorded four saves with a 25:9 K:BB, and 1.18 WHIP, which may be more indicative of his statistics for the upcoming season. How many save chances he receives depends on how Rob Thomson structures his match-up based ”floating closer” concept.

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This ranking means he has to take over as the ”closer” in 2024. He took over the primary save share in late June last year, then landed on the injured list after the All-Star break, stunting his momentum. Despite this, Harvey finished fourth among all qualified National League relievers in WHIP (0.94) and 11th in K-BB percentage (23 percent). Finished 2023 with a 23:1 K:BB in the second half with a minuscule 0.798 WHIP. Here’s hoping he puts it all together for a full season.

This ranking means he has to take over as the ”closer” in 2024. He took over the primary save share in late June last year, then landed on the injured list after the All-Star break, stunting his momentum. Despite this, Harvey finished fourth among all qualified National League relievers in WHIP (0.94) and 11th in K-BB percentage (23 percent). Finished 2023 with a 23:1 K:BB in the second half with a minuscule 0.798 WHIP. Here’s hoping he puts it all together for a full season.

This ranking means he has to take over as the ”closer” in 2024. He took over the primary save share in late June last year, then landed on the injured list after the All-Star break, stunting his momentum. Despite this, Harvey finished fourth among all qualified National League relievers in WHIP (0.94) and 11th in K-BB percentage (23 percent). Finished 2023 with a 23:1 K:BB in the second half with a minuscule 0.798 WHIP. Here’s hoping he puts it all together for a full season.

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Getting a delayed start in camp with shoulder soreness does not give fantasy players a warm fuzzy. However, he shoved during his tenure with the Rays courtesy of implementing a cutter. After the All-Star break, he recorded a 42.9 K-BB percentage, a 30.1 percent swinging strike rate, and only allowed a 45.4 contact percentage. He cannot carry over these gains for a full season, but it should be enough to eventually take over the top spot in his new team’s bullpen hierarchy.

Getting a delayed start in camp with shoulder soreness does not give fantasy players a warm fuzzy. However, he shoved during his tenure with the Rays courtesy of implementing a cutter. After the All-Star break, he recorded a 42.9 K-BB percentage, a 30.1 percent swinging strike rate, and only allowed a 45.4 contact percentage. He cannot carry over these gains for a full season, but it should be enough to eventually take over the top spot in his new team’s bullpen hierarchy.

Getting a delayed start in camp with shoulder soreness does not give fantasy players a warm fuzzy. However, he shoved during his tenure with the Rays courtesy of implementing a cutter. After the All-Star break, he recorded a 42.9 K-BB percentage, a 30.1 percent swinging strike rate, and only allowed a 45.4 contact percentage. He cannot carry over these gains for a full season, but it should be enough to eventually take over the top spot in his new team’s bullpen hierarchy.

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There are layers affecting his fantasy status. First, he will be a free agent at the end of the season, so he could be traded, especially if he turns in strong results early on in the season. However, he was ceding save chances last April to José Quijada before taking over as the team’s closer. In the first half, he notched 21 saves with a 1.286 WHIP, but after the All-Star break, his results cratered while securing 10 saves with a bloated 1.786 WHIP. He may be this year’s Jekyll and Hyde closer candidate, with more questions than answers.

There are layers affecting his fantasy status. First, he will be a free agent at the end of the season, so he could be traded, especially if he turns in strong results early on in the season. However, he was ceding save chances last April to José Quijada before taking over as the team’s closer. In the first half, he notched 21 saves with a 1.286 WHIP, but after the All-Star break, his results cratered while securing 10 saves with a bloated 1.786 WHIP. He may be this year’s Jekyll and Hyde closer candidate, with more questions than answers.

There are layers affecting his fantasy status. First, he will be a free agent at the end of the season, so he could be traded, especially if he turns in strong results early on in the season. However, he was ceding save chances last April to José Quijada before taking over as the team’s closer. In the first half, he notched 21 saves with a 1.286 WHIP, but after the All-Star break, his results cratered while securing 10 saves with a bloated 1.786 WHIP. He may be this year’s Jekyll and Hyde closer candidate, with more questions than answers.

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The good news? He ranked in the 94th percentile for fastball velocity (97.6 m.p.h.) per Statcast during his limited sample last year. Since his debut with the Padres in 2022, he’s appeared in 71 games, spanning 75.1 innings, with a 3.36 SIERA, 1.00 WHIP, and an 18.1 K-BB percentage. How his team deploys him, along with his results in high-leverage events, will determine his outcomes. He could record 20 saves… or lose his primary save share by May. Feeling lucky?

The good news? He ranked in the 94th percentile for fastball velocity (97.6 m.p.h.) per Statcast during his limited sample last year. Since his debut with the Padres in 2022, he’s appeared in 71 games, spanning 75.1 innings, with a 3.36 SIERA, 1.00 WHIP, and an 18.1 K-BB percentage. How his team deploys him, along with his results in high-leverage events, will determine his outcomes. He could record 20 saves… or lose his primary save share by May. Feeling lucky?

The good news? He ranked in the 94th percentile for fastball velocity (97.6 m.p.h.) per Statcast during his limited sample last year. Since his debut with the Padres in 2022, he’s appeared in 71 games, spanning 75.1 innings, with a 3.36 SIERA, 1.00 WHIP, and an 18.1 K-BB percentage. How his team deploys him, along with his results in high-leverage events, will determine his outcomes. He could record 20 saves… or lose his primary save share by May. Feeling lucky?

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One of the better ancillary save options for fantasy even though he missed time on the injured list last year too. Since arriving in Tampa Bay, he’s logged 117.2 innings with a 144:37 K:BB, a 0.875 WHIP, and 20 saves. A perfect ratio eraser with pocket saves in a build.

One of the better ancillary save options for fantasy even though he missed time on the injured list last year too. Since arriving in Tampa Bay, he’s logged 117.2 innings with a 144:37 K:BB, a 0.875 WHIP, and 20 saves. A perfect ratio eraser with pocket saves in a build.

One of the better ancillary save options for fantasy even though he missed time on the injured list last year too. Since arriving in Tampa Bay, he’s logged 117.2 innings with a 144:37 K:BB, a 0.875 WHIP, and 20 saves. A perfect ratio eraser with pocket saves in a build.

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Among the most popular players in fantasy — the next guy up in a volatile bullpen — one candidate this year will be Matsui. He’s the youngest player in NPB history with at least 200 saves. Over the previous three seasons, he owned a 1.42 ERA with a 36.4 strikeout percentage. He features a nasty split-fingered fastball and could emerge with a save share if his body can handle the assimilation process of major-league baseball.

Among the most popular players in fantasy — the next guy up in a volatile bullpen — one candidate this year will be Matsui. He’s the youngest player in NPB history with at least 200 saves. Over the previous three seasons, he owned a 1.42 ERA with a 36.4 strikeout percentage. He features a nasty split-fingered fastball and could emerge with a save share if his body can handle the assimilation process of major-league baseball.

Among the most popular players in fantasy — the next guy up in a volatile bullpen — one candidate this year will be Matsui. He’s the youngest player in NPB history with at least 200 saves. Over the previous three seasons, he owned a 1.42 ERA with a 36.4 strikeout percentage. He features a nasty split-fingered fastball and could emerge with a save share if his body can handle the assimilation process of major-league baseball.

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Finished tied for eighth in the American League in saves last year despite his lingering command issues. Of 83 relievers with at least 60 innings in 2023, he posted the worst walks-per-nine (6.1) and walk percentage (15.6 percent) results. He’s streaky, which makes using him in fantasy a tightrope walk. He went from American League Reliever of the Month in May to a removal from save chances in late August. Like Johnny Cash, he walks the line.

Finished tied for eighth in the American League in saves last year despite his lingering command issues. Of 83 relievers with at least 60 innings in 2023, he posted the worst walks-per-nine (6.1) and walk percentage (15.6 percent) results. He’s streaky, which makes using him in fantasy a tightrope walk. He went from American League Reliever of the Month in May to a removal from save chances in late August. Like Johnny Cash, he walks the line.

Finished tied for eighth in the American League in saves last year despite his lingering command issues. Of 83 relievers with at least 60 innings in 2023, he posted the worst walks-per-nine (6.1) and walk percentage (15.6 percent) results. He’s streaky, which makes using him in fantasy a tightrope walk. He went from American League Reliever of the Month in May to a removal from save chances in late August. Like Johnny Cash, he walks the line.

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This may be too aggressive, but Pressly will still accrue some save chances when Hader needs rest. He also provides some ratio insulation for those in deeper formats. Coming off consecutive years with 30-plus saves, he can trigger an opt-out clause at the end of the season based on appearances. Keep this in mind for early drafts next winter.

This may be too aggressive, but Pressly will still accrue some save chances when Hader needs rest. He also provides some ratio insulation for those in deeper formats. Coming off consecutive years with 30-plus saves, he can trigger an opt-out clause at the end of the season based on appearances. Keep this in mind for early drafts next winter.

This may be too aggressive, but Pressly will still accrue some save chances when Hader needs rest. He also provides some ratio insulation for those in deeper formats. Coming off consecutive years with 30-plus saves, he can trigger an opt-out clause at the end of the season based on appearances. Keep this in mind for early drafts next winter.

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Filled in admirably for Iglesias early on last season, and remains one of the best set-up relievers in baseball on one of the best teams. Whether his closer needs a day off or he matches up with a tough left-handed pocket in the ninth, Minter will record some saves this year, and he’s an injury away from fantasy relevance.

Filled in admirably for Iglesias early on last season, and remains one of the best set-up relievers in baseball on one of the best teams. Whether his closer needs a day off or he matches up with a tough left-handed pocket in the ninth, Minter will record some saves this year, and he’s an injury away from fantasy relevance.

Filled in admirably for Iglesias early on last season, and remains one of the best set-up relievers in baseball on one of the best teams. Whether his closer needs a day off or he matches up with a tough left-handed pocket in the ninth, Minter will record some saves this year, and he’s an injury away from fantasy relevance.

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Three Astros in the top 32? Why, yes, it’s true. He’s the biggest loser of the Hader contract, dashing his dynasty status as the closer of the future. Still, he represents one of five relievers with at least 100 strikeouts in 2023, making him a viable plug-and-play in deeper leagues, and even some 12-team mixers.

Three Astros in the top 32? Why, yes, it’s true. He’s the biggest loser of the Hader contract, dashing his dynasty status as the closer of the future. Still, he represents one of five relievers with at least 100 strikeouts in 2023, making him a viable plug-and-play in deeper leagues, and even some 12-team mixers.

Three Astros in the top 32? Why, yes, it’s true. He’s the biggest loser of the Hader contract, dashing his dynasty status as the closer of the future. Still, he represents one of five relievers with at least 100 strikeouts in 2023, making him a viable plug-and-play in deeper leagues, and even some 12-team mixers.

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Set career highs in saves (28) and wins (seven) last year. Recorded 14 straight scoreless outings between July and August, and nine of his 29 earned runs occurred in two contests. He was the only reliever in 2023 with at least 28 saves and eight holds. How long he holds the primary save share determines his fantasy ceiling.

Set career highs in saves (28) and wins (seven) last year. Recorded 14 straight scoreless outings between July and August, and nine of his 29 earned runs occurred in two contests. He was the only reliever in 2023 with at least 28 saves and eight holds. How long he holds the primary save share determines his fantasy ceiling.

Set career highs in saves (28) and wins (seven) last year. Recorded 14 straight scoreless outings between July and August, and nine of his 29 earned runs occurred in two contests. He was the only reliever in 2023 with at least 28 saves and eight holds. How long he holds the primary save share determines his fantasy ceiling.

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Hopefully, it will not be a wash, rinse, and repeat situation with Leclerc as the closer in 2024. Last year, he opened the season as the closer, then lost his grip on the role — pitching through a neck issue — and reemerged as a high-leverage weapon at the end of the season. He led the team with four saves in the postseason, will this translate into regular-season success? Time will tell.

Hopefully, it will not be a wash, rinse, and repeat situation with Leclerc as the closer in 2024. Last year, he opened the season as the closer, then lost his grip on the role — pitching through a neck issue — and reemerged as a high-leverage weapon at the end of the season. He led the team with four saves in the postseason, will this translate into regular-season success? Time will tell.

Hopefully, it will not be a wash, rinse, and repeat situation with Leclerc as the closer in 2024. Last year, he opened the season as the closer, then lost his grip on the role — pitching through a neck issue — and reemerged as a high-leverage weapon at the end of the season. He led the team with four saves in the postseason, will this translate into regular-season success? Time will tell.

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Coming off a disappointing season, at this time last year, many felt Domínguez would emerge with the primary save share for the Phillies. He’s sitting two m.p.h. above his velocity versus last spring, and may be primed for a post-hype season as a high-leverage reliever. If this happens, he could surpass the save projection listed, but it’s pure speculation. However, I’m betting on the rebound and the talent.

Coming off a disappointing season, at this time last year, many felt Domínguez would emerge with the primary save share for the Phillies. He’s sitting two m.p.h. above his velocity versus last spring, and may be primed for a post-hype season as a high-leverage reliever. If this happens, he could surpass the save projection listed, but it’s pure speculation. However, I’m betting on the rebound and the talent.

Coming off a disappointing season, at this time last year, many felt Domínguez would emerge with the primary save share for the Phillies. He’s sitting two m.p.h. above his velocity versus last spring, and may be primed for a post-hype season as a high-leverage reliever. If this happens, he could surpass the save projection listed, but it’s pure speculation. However, I’m betting on the rebound and the talent.

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In one of the stranger statistics mined this offseason, Gallegos has more saves (18) in the first half since 2022 than his teammate, Ryan Helsley (15). He will not usurp him for the closer role, but with improved outcomes this year, he could reach this save total, putting him on the periphery of fantasy relevance.

In one of the stranger statistics mined this offseason, Gallegos has more saves (18) in the first half since 2022 than his teammate, Ryan Helsley (15). He will not usurp him for the closer role, but with improved outcomes this year, he could reach this save total, putting him on the periphery of fantasy relevance.

In one of the stranger statistics mined this offseason, Gallegos has more saves (18) in the first half since 2022 than his teammate, Ryan Helsley (15). He will not usurp him for the closer role, but with improved outcomes this year, he could reach this save total, putting him on the periphery of fantasy relevance.

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A potential wild card. Bednar has been limited in camp with right lat tightness, which could delay his readiness for Opening Day. If this happens, Chapman could provide a handful of saves early on, which would move him up these rankings. Monitor this situation closely.

A potential wild card. Bednar has been limited in camp with right lat tightness, which could delay his readiness for Opening Day. If this happens, Chapman could provide a handful of saves early on, which would move him up these rankings. Monitor this situation closely.

A potential wild card. Bednar has been limited in camp with right lat tightness, which could delay his readiness for Opening Day. If this happens, Chapman could provide a handful of saves early on, which would move him up these rankings. Monitor this situation closely.

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Speaking of ”nothing sexy in a profile for a reliever” — Smith has been a part of three straight championships and will open the year as the Royals’ primary save source. Can he overcome his fastball with a new change-up? Maybe, but he could reach 15-plus saves, though the ratios may not be pretty.

Speaking of ”nothing sexy in a profile for a reliever” — Smith has been a part of three straight championships and will open the year as the Royals’ primary save source. Can he overcome his fastball with a new change-up? Maybe, but he could reach 15-plus saves, though the ratios may not be pretty.

Speaking of ”nothing sexy in a profile for a reliever” — Smith has been a part of three straight championships and will open the year as the Royals’ primary save source. Can he overcome his fastball with a new change-up? Maybe, but he could reach 15-plus saves, though the ratios may not be pretty.

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He was much higher on this list until he was shut down from throwing with an elbow issue. He resumed his throwing program and if all goes well, could return by mid-April. If this trends positively, he will rise in our next rankings run. For now, proceed with caution.

He was much higher on this list until he was shut down from throwing with an elbow issue. He resumed his throwing program and if all goes well, could return by mid-April. If this trends positively, he will rise in our next rankings run. For now, proceed with caution.

He was much higher on this list until he was shut down from throwing with an elbow issue. He resumed his throwing program and if all goes well, could return by mid-April. If this trends positively, he will rise in our next rankings run. For now, proceed with caution.

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Representing the next man up in Toronto’s bullpen, Swanson can provide Romano with much-needed days off and protect his fantasy team’s ratios. Last year, he set career-highs in games (69) and strikeouts (75) while finishing third in the American League in holds (29).

Representing the next man up in Toronto’s bullpen, Swanson can provide Romano with much-needed days off and protect his fantasy team’s ratios. Last year, he set career-highs in games (69) and strikeouts (75) while finishing third in the American League in holds (29).

Representing the next man up in Toronto’s bullpen, Swanson can provide Romano with much-needed days off and protect his fantasy team’s ratios. Last year, he set career-highs in games (69) and strikeouts (75) while finishing third in the American League in holds (29).

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Statistical Credits: FanGraphs.com, Baseball-Reference.com, BaseballSavant.com, BrooksBaseball.net, Steamer projections of Steamerprojections.com on FanGraphs, ATC projections courtesy of Ariel Cohen, ZiPS DC courtesy of Dan Szymborski, THE BAT and THE BAT X courtesy of Derek Carty

(Top photo: Getty; Rich Schultz, John Fisher, George Kubas/Diamond Images)





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